2009 Virginia gubernatorial election

Today, 2009 Virginia gubernatorial election is a topic of great relevance and interest to a wide variety of people in different parts of the world. The impact that 2009 Virginia gubernatorial election has on our lives is undeniable, whether on a personal, social, economic or political level. Since its emergence, 2009 Virginia gubernatorial election has been the subject of study, analysis and debate by experts in different areas, who seek to understand its implications and consequences. In this article we will explore from different perspectives the phenomenon of 2009 Virginia gubernatorial election and its influence on current society, in order to shed light on this widely discussed topic.

For related races, see 2009 United States gubernatorial elections.

2009 Virginia gubernatorial election
← 2005 November 3, 2009 2013 →
Turnout40.4% Decrease 4.6[1]
 
Nominee Bob McDonnell Creigh Deeds
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,163,651 818,950
Percentage 58.61% 41.25%
McDonnell:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Deeds:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Governor before election

Tim Kaine
Democratic

Elected Governor

Bob McDonnell
Republican

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The 2009 Virginia gubernatorial election took place in Virginia on November 3, 2009. The incumbent governor, Democrat Tim Kaine, was not eligible to run due to term limits established by the Virginia Constitution, though others in the state's executive branch were not restricted. (Virginia is the only state that prohibits a governor from serving consecutive terms.) Republican Bob McDonnell was elected as governor as part of a Republican sweep. Republican Bill Bolling was reelected as lieutenant governor, and Republican Ken Cuccinelli was elected as attorney general. The winners were inaugurated on January 16, 2010, and served until January 11, 2014.

State Senator Creigh Deeds was selected as the Democratic nominee, having defeated former Democratic National Committee Chairman Terry McAuliffe and former state Delegate Brian Moran in the Democratic primary election.[2][3] This was the first contested Democratic primary in two decades.[4] McDonnell, a former state attorney general, was selected at his party's nominating convention.[5] The two major candidates competed in the 2005 Virginia Attorney General election, and were in a rematch, but in the Governor's race. McDonnell defeated Deeds in the general election by a margin of 59%–41%, much larger than the previous Attorney General election. This would be the last time until 2021 that a Republican would win any statewide election in Virginia. This is also the last time any of the following counties have voted Republican in a statewide race: Albemarle, Fairfax, Prince William, Henrico, Sussex, Brunswick, and the independent city of Suffolk.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Campaign

Further information: 2009 Creigh Deeds gubernatorial campaign
McAuliffe campaigning

The Democratic primary campaign for governor unofficially began on December 13, 2007, when State Senator Creigh Deeds, who ran for Attorney General of Virginia in 2005, announced that he would run for the Democratic nomination. State Delegate Brian Moran, brother of Congressman Jim Moran, joined Deeds on January 4, 2008, when he established a political action committee. For the following year (before McAuliffe indicated his intentions to run), Deeds and Moran squared off picking up endorsements, and raising money. On January 3, 2009, McLean resident Terry McAuliffe, former chairman of the Democratic National Committee and chairman of Hillary Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign announced that he was also running.[2] The Democratic primary, which took place on June 9, 2009, was the first contested in over twenty years.[4]

Sign outside Alexandria City Hall, indicating the nearest polling place

Moran received many endorsements from members of the State Democratic Party as well as the mayors of the Hampton Roads area.[citation needed] Deeds picked up support from Northern and Western Virginia, such as the endorsement from U.S. Congressman Rick Boucher. The area of strength for Deeds was concentrated in Western and Southern Virginia, and the area of strength for Moran consisted mostly of Eastern Virginia with both reaching out to Northern Virginian voters.[citation needed]

The race was close from the beginning, with McAuliffe considered to be a semi "front-runner" due to his lead in the polls and big campaign war chest. However, in the last few weeks of the race, Deeds began to surge up in the polls. By election night, June 9, Deeds swept to victory. Creigh Deeds spent $14.49 for each vote on the Democratic primary election. Terry McAuliffe spent $68.25 for each vote on the Democratic primary election.[6]

Endorsements

List of Terry McAuliffe endorsements
List of Creigh Deeds endorsements
List of Brian Moran endorsements

Fundraising

Fundraising totals through June 30, 2009, from the Virginia Public Access Project.

Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand
Creigh Deeds $6,207,528 $3,486,179 $2,721,350
Terry McAuliffe $8,250,507 $8,250,205 $304
Bob McDonnell $73,981 $3,360 $920,623
Brian Moran $4,057,882 $4,034,070 $23,816

Polling

Source Dates Administered Terry McAuliffe Brian Moran Creigh Deeds
Survey USA[30] June 8 30% 21% 42%
Public Policy Polling[31] June 6–7 26% 24% 40%
Suffolk University[32] June 4 20% 20% 27%
Daily Kos/Research 2000[33] June 1–3 26% 27% 30%
Survey USA[34] May 31 – June 2 35% 26% 29%
Public Policy Polling[35] May 28–31 24% 22% 27%
Public Policy Polling[36] May 19–21, 2009 29% 20% 20%
Daily Kos/Research 2000[37] May 18–20, 2009 36% 22% 13%
Survey USA[38] May 17–19, 2009 37% 22% 26%
Public Policy Polling[39] May 1–3, 2009 30% 20% 14%
Survey USA[40] April 25–27, 2009 38% 22% 22%
Research 2000[41] April 6–8, 2009 19% 24% 16%
Public Policy Polling[42] March 27–29, 2009 18% 22% 15%
Public Policy Polling[43] February 28 – March 1, 2009 21% 19% 14%
Public Policy Polling[44] January 30 – February 1, 2009 18% 18% 11%

Results

Democratic primary results by county:
  Deeds
  •   Deeds—30–40%
  •   Deeds—40–50%
  •   Deeds—50–60%
  •   Deeds—60–70%
  •   Deeds—70–80%
  •   Deeds—80–90%
  •   Deeds—90–100%
  McAuliffe
  •   McAuliffe—30–40%
  •   McAuliffe—40–50%
  •   McAuliffe—50–60%
  Moran
  •   Moran—30–40%
  •   Moran—40–50%
  •   Moran—50–60%
Democratic Primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Creigh Deeds 158,845 49.77
Democratic Terry McAuliffe 84,387 26.44
Democratic Brian Moran 75,936 23.79
Total votes 319,168 100.00

Republican convention

Attorney General Bob McDonnell first announced his intention to run at American Legion's Boys State of Virginia 2007. This was the sixth consecutive Virginian gubernatorial election in which an attorney general ran.

McDonnell was the only Republican candidate to file with the election board before the November 2008 deadline. As a result, there was no Republican Party primary. McDonnell accepted the Republican nomination at a state convention on May 30, 2009, in Richmond.[46] Other potential candidates for the Republican nomination, lieutenant governor Bill Bolling and former senator George Allen, both declined to run.[47]

Chairman of the Republican National Committee Michael Steele had said that the election for governor of Virginia is one of the most important elections for the Republican Party.[48]

General election

Deeds and McDonnell both ran for Attorney General of Virginia in 2005. McDonnell won by just over 300 votes, in the same election in which Tim Kaine was elected Governor with 52% of the vote.

The main themes of the election were the economy, transportation, and jobs.

The first debate was in Hot Springs, Virginia on July 25.[49]

Vice President Joe Biden campaigned for Deeds in Henrico County, Virginia, a suburb of Richmond, Virginia on July 16.[50] Also attending were Richmond Mayor Dwight Clinton Jones, state senator A. Donald McEachin (D-Henrico), and Virginia first lady Anne Holton.[51]

President Obama and Governor Kaine campaigning with Deeds on August 6

On August 6, President Barack Obama and Governor Tim Kaine campaigned for Deeds in McLean, Virginia.[52]

Deeds is from Bath County, Virginia, a rural area of fewer than 5,000 people, where John McCain received over 55% of the vote. McDonnell is from Virginia Beach, which McCain won with 49.9%.[53]

Fundraising

Candidate General Elec. Raised Total Raised
R Creigh Deeds (Democrat) $10,057,402 $16,264,930
Robert F McDonnell (Republican) $21,466,436 $21,466,436

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Rothenberg Political Report[54] Lean R (flip) October 26, 2009

Polling

Source Dates Administered Creigh Deeds (D) Bob McDonnell (R)
SurveyUSA[55] October 30 – November 1, 2009 40% 58%
Public Policy Polling[56] November 1, 2009 42% 56%
Mason-Dixon/Richmond Times-Dispatch[57] October 28–29, 2009 41% 53%
Research 2000[58] October 26–28, 2009 44% 54%
Center for Community Research[59] October 21–27, 2009 36% 53%
Rasmussen Reports[60] October 27, 2009 41% 54%
SurveyUSA[61] October 25–26, 2009 41% 58%
Public Policy Polling[62] October 23–26, 2009 40% 55%
The Washington Post[63] October 22–25, 2009 44% 55%
Virginia Commonwealth University[64] October 21–25, 2009 36% 54%
SurveyUSA[65] October 17–19, 2009 40% 59%
Public Policy Polling[66] October 16–19, 2009 40% 52%
Clarus Research[67] October 18–19, 2009 41% 49%
CNU-Pilot-WVEC[68] October 19, 2009 31% 45%
Rasmussen Reports[69] October 12, 2009 43% 50%
Mason-Dixon[70] October 6–8, 2009 40% 48%
The Washington Post[71] October 4–7, 2009 44% 53%
Survey USA[72] October 2–4, 2009 43% 54%
Rasmussen Reports[73] September 29, 2009 42% 51%
Survey USA[74] September 26–28, 2009 41% 55%
Public Policy Polling[75] September 25–28, 2009 43% 48%
Insider Advantage[76] September 23, 2009 44% 48%
The Washington Post[77] September 20, 2009 47% 51%
Research 2000[78] September 14–16, 2009 43% 50%
Rasmussen Reports[79] September 16, 2009 46% 48%
Clarus Research Group[80] September 16, 2009 37% 42%
Survey USA[81] September 3, 2009 42% 54%
Rasmussen Reports[82] September 1, 2009 42% 51%
Public Policy Polling[83] August 28–31, 2009 42% 49%
Washington Post[84] August 16, 2009 40% 47%
Rasmussen Reports[85] August 10, 2009 38% 47%
Research 2000[86] August 3–5, 2009 43% 51%
Public Policy Polling[87] July 31 – August 3, 2009 37% 51%
Survey USA[88] July 27–28, 2009 40% 55%
Rasmussen Reports[89] July 14, 2009 41% 44%
Public Policy Polling[90] June 30 – July 2, 2009 43% 49%
Research 2000[91] June 15–17, 2009 44% 45%
ALR[92] June 10–14, 2009 42% 38%
Rasmussen Reports[93] June 10, 2009 47% 41%
Survey USA[94] June 5 – 7, 2009 43% 47%
Survey USA[34] May 31 – June 2, 2009 43% 44%
Research 2000[95] May 18–20, 2009 32% 45%
Survey USA[38] May 17–19, 2009 40% 46%
Survey USA[40] April 27, 2009 39% 44%
Rasmussen Reports[96] April 15, 2009 30% 45%
Research 2000[41] April 6–8, 2009 31% 38%
Rasmussen Reports[97] February 4, 2009 30% 39%
Rasmussen Reports[98] December 4, 2008 39% 39%
Public Policy Polling[99] June 14–16, 2008 27% 32%
Hypothetical polling

with McAuliffe

Source Dates Administered Terry McAuliffe (D) Bob McDonnell (R)
Survey USA[34] May 31 – June 2, 2009 40% 47%
Research 2000[95] May 18–20, 2009 34% 44%
Survey USA[38] May 19, 2009 40% 46%
Survey USA[40] April 27, 2009 39% 46%
Rasmussen Reports[100] April 15, 2009 33% 45%
Research 2000[41] April 8, 2009 33% 40%
Rasmussen Reports[100] February 4, 2009 35% 42%
Rasmussen Reports[98] December 4, 2008 36% 41%

with Moran

Source Dates Administered Brian Moran (D) Bob McDonnell (R)
Survey USA[34] May 31 – June 2, 2009 37% 48%
Research 2000[95] May 18–20, 2009 35% 42%
Survey USA[38] May 19, 2009 37% 47%
Survey USA[40] April 27, 2009 34% 46%
Rasmussen Reports[100] April 15, 2009 34% 44%
Research 2000[101] April 8, 2009 36% 37%
Rasmussen Reports[100] February 4, 2009 36% 39%
Rasmussen Reports[102] December 4, 2008 41% 37%
Public Policy Polling[99] June 14–16, 2008 27% 33%

Results

Virginia gubernatorial election, 2009[103][104]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Bob McDonnell 1,163,651 58.61% +12.62%
Democratic Creigh Deeds 818,950 41.25% −10.47%
Write-in 2,502 0.12%
Majority 344,701 17.36% +11.63%
Turnout 1,985,103 42%
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

By county and independent city

County[105] McDonnell Votes Deeds Votes Others Votes
Accomack 62.4% 5,400 37.6% 3,249 0.0% 2
Albemarle 50.5% 15,767 49.4% 15,433 0.1% 35
Alexandria 37.0% 13,050 62.8% 22,108 0.2% 71
Alleghany 38.7% 2,017 61.2% 3,190 0.1% 3
Amelia 71.1% 2,878 28.9% 1,168 0.0% 2
Amherst 67.9% 5,976 32.1% 2,827 0.0% 4
Appomattox 74.3% 3,397 25.6% 1,172 0.0% 1
Arlington 34.3% 19,325 65.5% 36,949 0.2% 141
Augusta 77.4% 15,661 22.5% 4,558 0.1% 16
Bath 36.5% 666 63.5% 1,159 0.1% 1
Bedford County 77.1% 16,881 22.9% 5,009 0.1% 14
Bedford 64.8% 1,016 35.2% 553 0.0% 0
Bland 75.9% 1,394 24.1% 442 0.1% 1
Botetourt 71.3% 7,726 28.6% 3,097 0.2% 19
Bristol 72.4% 2,760 27.5% 1,047 0.1% 3
Brunswick 50.5% 2,107 49.4% 2,062 0.1% 4
Buchanan 63.2% 3,261 36.7% 1,895 0.0% 2
Buckingham 63.4% 2,313 36.6% 1,335 0.0% 0
Buena Vista 60.9% 824 39.1% 528 0.0% 0
Campbell 76.9% 11,611 22.9% 3,457 0.2% 26
Caroline 56.5% 3,709 43.5% 2,855 0.1% 4
Carroll 73.0% 5,229 27.0% 1,932 0.1% 5
Charles City 41.4% 890 58.5% 1,259 0.1% 2
Charlotte 66.6% 2,347 33.2% 1,171 0.1% 5
Charlottesville 26.2% 2,636 73.6% 7,406 0.1% 14
Chesapeake 60.3% 32,518 39.6% 21,376 0.1% 43
Chesterfield 66.3% 59,558 33.6% 30,161 0.2% 156
Clarke 63.3% 2,744 36.6% 1,586 0.1% 4
Colonial Heights 83.1% 4,333 16.8% 877 0.0% 2
Covington 34.1% 507 65.8% 979 0.1% 2
Craig 67.8% 1,091 32.2% 518 0.1% 1
Culpeper 70.3% 7,253 29.6% 3,057 0.1% 14
Cumberland 64.1% 1,728 35.9% 967 0.0% 1
Danville 55.0% 6,001 44.9% 4,906 0.1% 11
Dickenson 60.5% 2,176 39.5% 1,420 0.1% 3
Dinwiddie 62.6% 4,461 37.3% 2,661 0.1% 4
Emporia 52.4% 690 47.6% 627 0.1% 1
Essex 60.8% 1,631 39.2% 1,051 0.0% 0
Fairfax County 50.7% 138,655 49.1% 134,189 0.2% 438
Fairfax 53.0% 3,285 46.9% 2,909 0.1% 7
Falls Church 34.9% 1,463 64.9% 2,718 0.1% 6
Fauquier 68.8% 12,309 31.1% 5,566 0.1% 23
Floyd 65.8% 2,951 34.1% 1,529 0.2% 7
Fluvanna 63.4% 4,850 36.5% 2,791 0.1% 10
Franklin County 68.8% 10,283 31.1% 4,656 0.1% 12
Franklin 45.4% 1,013 54.5% 1,216 0.0% 1
Frederick 74.8% 13,274 25.1% 4,456 0.1% 25
Fredericksburg 48.9% 2,231 50.8% 2,318 0.2% 10
Galax 62.4% 818 37.4% 490 0.2% 3
Giles 63.3% 2,916 36.6% 1,683 0.1% 4
Gloucester 72.1% 8,126 27.8% 3,130 0.1% 16
Goochland 70.8% 5,837 29.1% 2,401 0.1% 10
Grayson 70.3% 3,026 29.7% 1,279 0.0% 0
Greene 72.5% 3,514 27.4% 1,326 0.1% 5
Greensville 47.4% 1,283 52.6% 1,426 0.0% 0
Halifax 61.5% 5,453 38.3% 3,390 0.2% 19
Hampton 42.0% 13,559 57.9% 18,696 0.1% 47
Hanover 76.2% 26,401 23.6% 8,180 0.1% 46
Harrisonburg 57.7% 3,816 42.2% 2,790 0.2% 11
Henrico 56.2% 49,462 43.7% 38,420 0.1% 114
Henry 63.0% 8,160 37.0% 4,791 0.0% 1
Highland 55.1% 619 44.9% 505 0.0% 0
Hopewell 62.4% 2,926 37.4% 1,753 0.2% 11
Isle of Wight 65.8% 7,684 34.1% 3,981 0.1% 8
James City 65.6% 15,193 34.3% 7,945 0.1% 25
King and Queen 58.9% 1,175 41.0% 819 0.1% 2
King George 70.2% 3,839 29.7% 1,624 0.1% 7
King William 71.5% 3,411 28.4% 1,354 0.1% 3
Lancaster 64.6% 3,051 35.2% 1,661 0.3% 12
Lee 74.3% 3,755 25.7% 1,300 0.0% 1
Lexington 39.3% 592 60.5% 911 0.1% 2
Loudoun 61.0% 39,996 38.8% 25,430 0.1% 95
Louisa 65.3% 5,713 34.6% 3,023 0.1% 7
Lunenburg 62.5% 2,040 37.5% 1,222 0.0% 1
Lynchburg 61.8% 12,503 38.1% 7,713 0.1% 26
Madison 69.5% 2,892 30.5% 1,268 0.1% 3
Manassas 61.9% 4,266 38.0% 2,618 0.1% 5
Manassas Park 60.2% 1,006 39.8% 666 0.0% 0
Martinsville 48.2% 1,565 51.7% 1,678 0.2% 5
Mathews 69.9% 2,490 30.0% 1,067 0.1% 4
Mecklenburg 67.7% 4,872 32.3% 2,327 0.0% 1
Middlesex 69.5% 2,652 30.4% 1,161 0.1% 2
Montgomery 54.5% 11,378 45.3% 9,455 0.2% 35
Nelson 53.7% 2,683 46.2% 2,311 0.1% 5
New Kent 74.4% 4,526 25.5% 1,549 0.1% 6
Newport News 49.9% 18,401 50.0% 18,415 0.1% 41
Norfolk 39.8% 15,913 60.1% 24,025 0.1% 50
Northampton 51.0% 1,976 48.9% 1,892 0.1% 4
Northumberland 65.4% 3,167 34.4% 1,665 0.2% 10
Norton 60.6% 568 39.3% 369 0.1% 1
Nottoway 58.3% 2,415 41.6% 1,723 0.1% 6
Orange 67.3% 6,248 32.7% 3,033 0.1% 6
Page 70.1% 5,245 29.7% 2,223 0.1% 9
Patrick 70.0% 3,383 29.9% 1,442 0.1% 5
Petersburg 19.0% 1,221 81.0% 5,214 0.0% 3
Pittsylvania 71.5% 11,739 28.5% 4,689 0.0% 0
Poquoson 80.2% 3,737 19.8% 922 0.1% 3
Portsmouth 40.2% 8,824 59.8% 13,124 0.1% 15
Powhatan 79.8% 7,287 20.0% 1,828 0.1% 11
Prince Edward 55.0% 2,752 44.9% 2,250 0.1% 4
Prince George 68.9% 5,846 31.0% 2,634 0.1% 7
Prince William 58.7% 43,993 41.2% 30,847 0.1% 100
Pulaski 65.1% 5,689 34.8% 3,044 0.0% 3
Radford 54.6% 1,554 45.3% 1,291 0.1% 3
Rappahannock 57.7% 1,664 42.2% 1,217 0.1% 3
Richmond County 68.3% 1,525 31.7% 708 0.0% 1
Richmond 30.5% 13,785 69.2% 31,241 0.2% 101
Roanoke County 68.0% 20,617 31.8% 9,643 0.1% 45
Roanoke 48.0% 9,929 51.9% 10,731 0.1% 21
Rockbridge 58.1% 3,964 41.9% 2,859 0.0% 3
Rockingham 78.1% 16,519 21.8% 4,599 0.1% 22
Russell 62.4% 4,812 37.6% 2,895 0.0% 2
Salem 66.5% 4,706 33.4% 2,365 0.2% 11
Scott 78.8% 4,370 21.1% 1,172 0.1% 3
Shenandoah 74.9% 9,129 25.0% 3,049 0.1% 18
Smyth 73.5% 5,424 26.4% 1,946 0.1% 7
Southampton 59.8% 2,992 40.2% 2,011 0.0% 2
Spotsylvania 68.4% 17,831 31.5% 8,220 0.1% 36
Stafford 67.4% 19,164 32.4% 9,226 0.2% 46
Staunton 58.5% 3,715 41.4% 2,627 0.1% 4
Suffolk 55.7% 11,095 44.2% 8,798 0.1% 14
Surry 46.2% 1,105 53.6% 1,283 0.2% 5
Sussex 52.4% 1,528 47.6% 1,386 0.0% 0
Tazewell 73.4% 7,588 26.6% 2,749 0.1% 7
Virginia Beach 63.7% 63,964 36.2% 36,303 0.1% 96
Warren 68.6% 5,604 31.3% 2,559 0.1% 8
Washington 74.9% 10,348 25.1% 3,469 0.0% 5
Waynesboro 68.9% 3,447 31.0% 1,549 0.1% 6
Westmoreland 58.6% 2,422 41.4% 1,711 0.0% 2
Williamsburg 45.3% 1,579 54.6% 1,905 0.1% 5
Winchester 60.7% 3,215 39.2% 2,076 0.2% 8
Wise 70.3% 5,538 29.6% 2,327 0.1% 9
Wythe 72.6% 5,650 27.2% 2,119 0.1% 10
York 69.6% 13,420 30.3% 5,839 0.1% 23
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

References

  1. ^ Virginia Department of Elections (2016). "Registration/Turnout Statistics". The Commonwealth of Virginia. Archived from the original on August 16, 2016. Retrieved July 25, 2016.
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  12. ^ "Did You Know Terry McAuliffe Took $25,000 From Donald Trump?". National Review. April 23, 2013.
  13. ^ Guthrie, Lisa (May 6, 2009). "Virginia League of Conservation Voters Endorses in Democratic Primary" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on June 17, 2009. Retrieved May 26, 2009.
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  16. ^ "Mayor Brown Endorses Deeds For Governor". December 18, 2007. Archived from the original on July 23, 2011.
  17. ^ The Roanoke Times (December 17, 2008). "U.S. Rep. Boucher endorses Creigh Deeds for Governor". Archived from the original on September 17, 2012.
  18. ^ "Petersburg officials endorse Moran". The Washington Post. February 11, 2009. Archived from the original on February 9, 2013. Retrieved March 28, 2009.
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